Options on Prediction Markets

Being right shouldn’t liquidate you.

One dip can close a margined trade, even if the market ends up going your way. An option cannot be closed early. You pay once up front, and that is the most you can ever lose. Finish past your level and you get paid.

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How does it feel to lose when you're right?

You called the outcome. But the price dipped on the way, your margin ran out, and the position was closed before the event resolved. Margined products bet on every move along the way. You were betting on the ending.

A perpetual position on any prediction market3× long YES

Pay once. Keep the position.

A call or a put on the probability itself, quoted from a solvency-backed vault. You pay the premium up front, and that premium is the most you can ever lose. No margin, no maintenance, no forced exit. The position is yours until expiry no matter what the price does in between.

Strait of Hormuz normalizes in 2026? · higher · Sep 15spot 32.5%

LevelBreakevenCost

25%42.9%17.9¢

30%46.0%16.0¢

Now · 32.5%

35%49.2%14.2¢

40%52.7%12.7¢

Pay the premium up front. Hold to settlement.

We quote the price. The market settles it.

Your entry price comes from our engine. Your outcome does not. At expiry the contract settles in cash against the event market's own price. Finish past your level and the payout is the distance between them. Miss and you lose only the premium.

The beta is live.

Launch paper trading

LevM · Not available to US persons · Currently in paper trading